Recently, according to data, industrial robots have seen positive growth for two consecutive months, sending a good signal to the global robot industry, which has been in a downturn for more than a year. With the increasing differentiation of industrial robot application industry, the market demand for it is expected to pick up. According to the latest report released by abiresearch, in the next 10 years, all robot sub industries will achieve huge growth. It is estimated that by 2030, the market will reach a total value of 277 billion dollars, and there will be no average distribution growth.
At present, as one of the branches of industrial robots, mobile robots are mainly used for handling, loading and unloading materials, warehousing, etc. with the continuous expansion of its application range, it is expected that in 2022, mobile robots will become the fastest-growing robots in the past industrial robots.
"New darling" of intelligent storage
Autonomous Vehicles usher in a historic breakthrough, especially in the field of logistics, mobile automation applications are very fast. In terms of material handling, robot suppliers and OEMs have a very large share in the global forklift, trailer and local vehicle market, and also drive the local autonomy.
Since the acquisition of kivasystems in 2012, Amazon has been using robotics technology. It has deployed 256000 automatic guided vehicles, accounting for nearly half of the market share of material handling robots, and is using automatic mobile robots to transport and deliver its robot sub product portfolio. It can be seen that Amazon robot is the leader in promoting the growth of mobile field.
Other AGV development companies deploy thousands of robots every year, such as quicktron, jd.com, geek and grayorange, etc., and it's only when AMR developers start to scale up. Braincorp. has deployed 5000 systems mainly in retail, and bluebotics has deployed about 2000 robots for internal logistics within and outside the supply chain.
M & A of mobile robot enterprise market is hot
In 2018, Teradyne's acquisition of AMR Mingao saw a rapid growth, with 5000 robots used for internal logistics within and outside the supply chain.
How is AGV different from AMR? AMR uses sensors and cameras to self navigate the environment. At present, AGV shipments are dominant, but by 2030, this situation may change. Due to the reduced cost of advanced navigation and the requirement of robot flexibility, it is estimated that in 2030, AGV will have 2.5 million vehicles for shipment, while AMR will have a medium capacity of 2.9 million vehicles. In particular, the wide use of intelligent logistics warehousing has promoted the vigorous development of AGV.
From 2020 to 2030, the annual compound growth of automatic forklift will be 58.9% to 455000 sets, and the technological income of all mobile robots will exceed 224 billion US dollars, while the income of industrial and cooperative robots will be 39 billion US dollars.
Some mobile robot suppliers have begun to scale up, such as Balyo, Seegrid, etc., together with the cooperation between automobile manufacturers and robotic company, to provide robot manufacturers with automation opportunities. At present, the global forklift shipment volume is close to 1 million, and it is expected that half of the cargo volume will be automated by 2030. China's Forklift AGV market capacity is expanding year by year, from 1500 in 2018 to about 3000 this year. With the continuous maturity of forklift AGV technology, the future application prospects are very broad.
New areas: technology driven maintenance and cleaning
The industry believes that maintenance and cleaning is another important area of mobile automation. More than 5000 automatic floor washers have been used in retail stores and commercial buildings in the United States. At the same time, it is also widely used in offices. In the future, cleaning robots will become a common phenomenon in the service economy. It is expected that the annual shipment of quadruped robots will increase to 29000 in 2030. With the increasing maturity of robot technology application in the industry, it will boost the growth of mobile robot market demand, at the same time, it will have a lasting transformative impact in the whole supply chain, and will become more and more common in the global economy.
5G: acceleration
In the vision of the development of industry 4.0, in the future, AGV robot will not only simply transport goods to the designated location, but also integrate big data, Internet of things, cloud computing, etc. into the product design, so that AGV robot can become a kind of real-time sensing, security identification, multiple obstacle avoidance, intelligent decision-making, automatic execution and other multi-functional intelligent industrial equipment. At present, AGV handling robot has been used in various fields, replacing manual handling is an inevitable trend.
At present, most of the intelligent manufacturing industry will choose the flexible production mode to bring higher production efficiency with the least manpower, which requires the introduction and application of some advanced technical means, such as common Internet of things technology, 5G communication network technology, etc. Taking these two technologies as examples, the Internet of things technology realizes the interconnection of various devices, systems and people in the production process, so that it can monitor and manage the whole production process in real time, while 5G technology greatly improves the chaotic application of the original communication network, which has a positive significance for promoting the implementation of the industrial Internet and the deepening transformation of intelligent manufacturing.
In terms of practical application effect, AGV robot will not need human participation in the operation process, so it will greatly reduce the labor cost, and can also cooperate with different AGVs, so as to achieve the maximum work efficiency and production quality. But the connection between them needs the support of the network, and we all know that there is a big gap between the industrial network and the ordinary network, so if 4G network communication technology, or it is difficult to really play the role of "connection", then 5G is the right benefit. Because it connects the processors and sensors in the production site, so that robots can communicate with each other, and no longer strictly distinguish the work of machines and people. In the future, human-computer collaborative production may become a mainstream trend.
The arrival of 5G, driven by its three characteristics: low delay, high bandwidth and high rate, will install a high-speed booster for the development of the Internet of all things; The application scope of AGV will continue to expand, the environment that AGV needs to face will become more and more diversified, and the requirements for AGV technology will become higher and higher. In the future, the development direction of upper technology should be big data (+ Internet), so as to make AGV truly informative and intelligent. In the early stage, the new production unit can be quickly reconstituted to adapt to the changes of process; secondly, the application and implementation of AGV can be more flexible under the premise of industrial stability and precision; in the same place with people, human-computer cooperation work. Finally, due to the acceleration of 5G commercial landing process, for the manufacturing industry, the construction of intelligent factory is also accelerated. Although AGV robot is an indispensable part of the production process, it also needs the assistance of other intelligent machines or intelligent systems, which is to achieve the construction of intelligent factory. In other words, it can be understood that intelligent factory is an important application scenario of 5G technology.
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